Historian foreshadows Iraq exit

Saw this Forward piece by "Martin van Creveld, a professor of military history at the Hebrew University [and] author of 'Transformation of War' (Free Press, 1991) [who] is the only non-American author on the U.S. Army's required reading list for officers" excerpted on Altercation today. Then again tonight by Wolcott. No excerpt here; as the bloggers say, read the whole thing. It's called, "Costly Withdrawal Is the Price To Be Paid for a Foolish War."

O'Reilly's gone totally insane

Read all about it.
UPDATE: St. Pete Times reacts to inclusion on idiotic enemies list.

Shorter W

Three more years:

"Some are calling for a deadline for withdrawal. The many advocating an artificial timetable for withdrawing are sincere. But I believe they're sincerely wrong.
"Pulling our troops out before they achieve their purpose is not a plan for victory. ...
"To all who wear the uniform, I make you this pledge, America will not run in the face of car bombers and assassins so long as I am your commander in chief," Bush declared.

We're not going anywhere.

Lyons, Conason

Gene doesn't think Catholic homophobia's very Christ-like. Joe thinks current GOP corruption surpasses that of past generations.

We like Hillary

But an endorsement by Susan Estrich should be the kiss of death. And she thinks Joe Biden would be a good running mate.

FCC chief endorses a la carte cable

It's about time. Why should anyone be forced to pay for crap like Fox News? Religious broadcasters are again' it. This at a hearing on whether to censor pay TV services:

The FCC chief also said a study the agency issued last year -- showing that consumers would end up paying more if they were allowed to pick and choose the cable channels they subscribed to -- was flawed. He said an a la carte subscription TV service could be economically feasible.

AP interviews Lawrence Wilkerson

Here.

[F]ormer Powell chief of staff Lawrence Wilkerson also said President Bush was "too aloof, too distant from the details" of postwar planning. Underlings exploited Bush's detachment and made poor decisions, Wilkerson said.
Wilkerson blamed Vice President Dick Cheney, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and like-minded aides. He said Cheney must have sincerely believed that Iraq could be a spawning ground for new terror assaults, because "otherwise I have to declare him a moron, an idiot or a nefarious bastard."

The answer is C.

Bozo = coward

Scared of Larry Johnson.
via Atrios.

Bummer

Thanks for the heads-up, Don. Hope to see you Saturday. Sy Hersh had to cancel because weather bloggered his flight from Atlanta. They may reschedule. Oh, well. This saves us the trouble of relearning how to program the timed-recording feature of the VCR and deciding what to tape over. Because we're not missing the season finale of "Prison Break."

Romantic love only lasts a year

Italian scientists say so. It probably varies from person to person, we think.

Domino

The harder they fall:

SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham pleaded guilty Monday to conspiracy and tax charges involving the sale of his home two years ago to a defense contractor at an inflated price.
Admitting to a judge that he took bribes, Cunningham entered pleas in U.S. District Court to charges of conspiracy to commit mail fraud and wire fraud and tax evasion for underreporting his income in 2004.

The AP apparently thinks his being a Republican is irrelevant.
UPDATE: He resigned, and they note that he's a Republican.

Sy Hersh tonight

At the Walton Arts Center. Here's his latest New Yorker piece. He reports a possible scenario for a U.S. exit strategy for Iraq. His sources tell him the White House may shift the burden for fighting the insurgency to Iraqi forces on the ground with U.S. air support. The Air Force is wary of trusting Iraqis to select targets for airstrikes. He also includes some stuff about W being divorced from reality:

Bush’s closest advisers have long been aware of the religious nature of his policy commitments. In recent interviews, one former senior official, who served in Bush’s first term, spoke extensively about the connection between the President’s religious faith and his view of the war in Iraq. After the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the former official said, he was told that Bush felt that “God put me here” to deal with the war on terror. The President’s belief was fortified by the Republican sweep in the 2002 congressional elections; Bush saw the victory as a purposeful message from God that “he’s the man,” the former official said. Publicly, Bush depicted his reëlection as a referendum on the war; privately, he spoke of it as another manifestation of divine purpose.
The former senior official said that after the election he made a lengthy inspection visit to Iraq and reported his findings to Bush in the White House: “I said to the President, ‘We’re not winning the war.’ And he asked, ‘Are we losing?’ I said, ‘Not yet.’” The President, he said, “appeared displeased” with that answer. “I tried to tell him,” the former senior official said. “And he couldn’t hear it.”

Where's Colin Powell when we need him?

Frank Rich

Good:

George W. Bush is so desperate for allies that his hapless Asian tour took him to Ulan Bator, a first for an American president, so he could mingle with the yaks and give personal thanks for Mongolia's contribution of some 160 soldiers to "the coalition of the willing." Dick Cheney, whose honest-and-ethical poll number hit 29 percent in Newsweek's latest survey, is so radioactive that he vanished into his bunker for weeks at a time during the storms Katrina and Scootergate.
The whole world can see that both men are on the run. ...

'Black Friday' kabuki

Digby, as usual, nails it.
via Kevin.

News you can use

The Guardian publishes instructions on how to make the perfect paper "aeroplane." (flash presentation)

LATimes: instant Iraqi readiness

Just add water:

WASHINGTON — Even as debate over the Iraq war continues to rage, signs are emerging of a convergence of opinion on how the Bush administration might begin to exit the conflict.
In a departure from previous statements, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said this week that the training of Iraqi soldiers had advanced so far that the current number of U.S. troops in the country probably would not be needed much longer.
President Bush will give a major speech Wednesday at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, Md., in which aides say he is expected to herald the improved readiness of Iraqi troops, which he has identified as the key condition for pulling out U.S. forces.

Sounds like this time they're actually writing some new lies that will constitute a "major speech."

Lawmakers' wives make great employees

And other developments in the Abramoff investigation, reported in the Post. It's nice how the permanent GOP domination of the federal government is unraveling itself. The Democrats still need to craft and articulate a popular agenda, but the absolutely powerful and equally corrupt Republicans are doing their share. Let's toss them an anvil.

The capital of Saskatchewan

KHBS/KHOG Chief Meteorologist Charles Salser and his second louie, Drew Michaels, for some reason feel compelled to report occasionally to a Northwest Arkansas audience the weather conditions in Regina. If they're trying to demonstrate their geographical acumen, they're doing the opposite: The name of the city is pronounced rej-EYE-nuh, not reh-JEE-nuh. And if Salser, who continually plugs their Web site, thehometownchannel.com, and Michaels, whose e-mail link bounced back when we tried to tell them, read their e-mail they'd know it. Actually, if we want to know how cold it is in Regina, we won't wait for the 10 o'clock news here to find out.

This was surreal

CBS, from Times Square, had the accident live, reporting that someone had been hurt. NBC, reporting from from Herald Square, where the parade ends, was cluelessly reading standard scripted parade banter. The Times reports:

At 11:47 a.m., about 7 minutes after the accident, the screen image faded from live coverage of a high school marching band from Kennesaw, Ga., to last year's tape of the M&M balloon. Ms. Couric, advising the audience that it was now looking at old tape, riffed on the balloon's concept of M&M's in distress.
"Now, because of today's windy conditions," Ms. Couric told viewers, "these characters are on video, and if we told you they were not in a panic, we'd be full of hot air."
Mr. Lauer, Ms. Couric's co-anchor on the "Today" show, chimed in: "You may be thinking 'color us clueless' as they flirt with trouble, with Yellow hanging on by a thread and Red struggling to keep his best buddy from flying off into the blue."
Mr. Roker then spoke his lines: "Will these classic candymen get out of this delicious dilemma? Hard to say, but when it comes to sweetness, Yellow and Red continue to melt your heart, but not in your hand."

How Cheney became president

Sidney Blumenthal chronicles his career path.

Hadn't heard this one

Galloway:

In the end, the distortion of intelligence to support the invasion of Iraq may be the lesser of Cheney's sins. He rammed his friend Ahmad Chalabi's version of reality in Iraq down everyone's throats and made it impossible for anyone in the Pentagon to properly plan for postwar occupation and reconstruction.
Then, when it all threatened to come undone and American soldiers were dying at the rate of three or four per day in Iraq, Cheney poked his finger in Powell's chest outside a principals meeting in the White House, according to a senior administration official, and yelled: "It's all YOUR fault. If you had let us put Chalabi in charge none of this would have happened."
We will visit this greater sin in next week's column. Stand by.

We'll be here, Joe.

Deja vu

The M&M'S balloon knocked a streetlight down on someone watching the parade. Times.

Another problem with torture

This New York Times story explains why Jose Padilla's not charged with the crimes they accused him of before. The evidence is inadmissible (probably unreliable, too) because it was obtained by torturing Abu Zubaydah and Khalid Shaikh Mohammed.

Bombing al-Jazeera

Does anyone doubt that the guy who said, "Fuck Saddam. We're taking him out," a year before the war started would have done it? After all, we bombed their Kabul and Baghdad bureaus. Perhaps Qatar won't be quite so accommodating to the U.S. in the future.

Padilla

So when Ashcroft held that news conference in Russia, of all places, to announce they had foiled a "dirty bomb" plot, apparently they didn't have much of a case. And when they changed their story last year to accuse him of plotting to blow up apartment buildings with natural-gas leaks they seem not to have had much evidence. Because now, having charged him to avoid the prospect of arguing before the Supreme Court that they should be able to imprison Americans indefinitely without charge, he's not accused of any of that stuff. It'll be interesting, when and if he goes to trial, to see what evidence they present. But don't they have some "speedy trial" issues?

Mission almost accomplished

We've partly won.

Barring any major surprises in Iraq, the Pentagon tentatively plans to reduce the number of U.S. forces there early next year by as many as three combat brigades, from 18 now, but to keep at least one brigade "on call" in Kuwait in case more troops are needed quickly, several senior military officers said.
Pentagon authorities also have set a series of "decision points" during 2006 to consider further force cuts that, under a "moderately optimistic" scenario, would drop the total number of troops from more than 150,000 now to fewer than 100,000, including 10 combat brigades, by the end of the year, the officers said.

By the end of the year, they mean Election Day.

The verdict's in

They're liars:

A majority of U.S. adults believe the Bush administration generally misleads the public on current issues, while fewer than a third of Americans believe the information provided by the administration is generally accurate, the latest Harris Interactive poll finds.
While the telephone survey of 1,011 U.S. adults indicates about 64% of Americans believe the Bush administration "generally misleads the American public on current issues to achieve its own ends," opinion on the topic is clearly divided along party lines. A large majority (68% to 28%) of Republicans say the Bush administration generally provides accurate information. However, even larger majorities of Democrats (91% to 7%) and Independents (73% to 25%) think the information is generally misleading.

Lyons, Conason

Gene gloats a bit about voters tossing out the wingnut school board in Dover, Pa., that mandated teaching "intelligent design" in science classes. Joe says it's time for an Iraq exit strategy.

They knew

Murray Waas for National Journal:

Ten days after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, President Bush was told in a highly classified briefing that the U.S. intelligence community had no evidence linking the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein to the attacks and that there was scant credible evidence that Iraq had any significant collaborative ties with Al Qaeda, according to government records and current and former officials with firsthand knowledge of the matter.

Fast forward one year, just before the congressional vote on authorizing the war, Waas notes:

"You can't distinguish between Al Qaeda and Saddam when you talk about the war on terror," President Bush said on September 25, 2002.
The next day, Rumsfeld said, "We have what we consider to be credible evidence that Al Qaeda leaders have sought contacts with Iraq who could help them acquire … weapons-of-mass-destruction capabilities."

It would be dishonest, reprehensible, corrupt, even shameless to suggest they were lying.

RIP

Link Wray died. Richard Harrington of the Post wrote a good appreciation piece. Lots of people are called "visionaries" upon their passing. Wray earned it.

Let's go

They have spoken:

CAIRO, Nov. 21 - For the first time, Iraq's political factions on Monday collectively called for a timetable for withdrawal of foreign forces, in a moment of consensus that comes as the Bush administration battles pressure at home to commit itself to a pullout schedule.
The announcement, made at the conclusion of a reconciliation conference here backed by the Arab League, was a public reaching out by Shiites, who now dominate Iraq's government, to Sunni Arabs on the eve of parliamentary elections that have been put on shaky ground by weeks of sectarian violence.
About 100 Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish leaders, many of whom will run in the election on Dec. 15, signed a closing memorandum on Monday that "demands a withdrawal of foreign troops on a specified timetable, dependent on an immediate national program for rebuilding the security forces," the statement said.

The Bush administration won't admit it, but they have no intention of leaving.

November sweeps

KFSM just did an irresponsible, sensational scare piece on avian flu. We're aware of the potential dangers, but we hate sensationalism. Nothing we can find on their Web site yet.

Rundgren to replace Ocasek in Cars redux

Via Reuters:

NEW YORK (Billboard) - Cars principals Elliot Easton and Greg Hawkes are teaming with veteran singer/songwriter Todd Rundgren in a new incarnation of pioneering new wave rock act the Cars, which will tour and possibly record an album next year. Rundgren will step in for Cars frontman Ric Ocasek, who has no plans to participate in the project. Cars bassist/vocalist Ben Orr died of cancer in 2000.

Never a big Cars fan, but we've seen more Rundgren concerts, mostly w/Utopia, than any other artist.

Scanlon pleads guilty

Story.

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Michael Scanlon, a former partner to lobbyist Jack Abramoff, pleaded guilty Monday to conspiring to bribe public officials, a charge growing out of the government investigation of attempts to defraud Indian tribes and corrupt a member of Congress.
Scanlon, a former aide to Rep. Tom DeLay, entered the plea before U.S. District Judge Ellen Segal Huvelle and agreed to pay restitution totaling more than $19 million to the tribes.
Scanlon, who is expected to cooperate in the investigation of Abramoff and members of Congress, could face up to five years in prison.
... Abramoff's lobbying network stretched far into the halls of Congress. Documents obtained by The Associated Press show nearly three dozen lawmakers helping to block an American Indian casino in Louisiana while collecting large donations from the lobbyist and his tribal clients.

Three dozen.

The man who sold the war

James Bamford tells the story in Rolling Stone of John Rendon and the Rendon Group, a consulting firm that contracts with the Pentagon to create and disseminate propaganda to sell, among other things, the Iraq war. Rendon created the Iraqi National Congress.

Time to leave Iraq

The shrill one makes the case.

Maybe we missed it

But we're pretty sure we didn't. You might think Your 5NEWS at Noon on KFSM would have led with this story:

LITTLE ROCK, Ark. (AP) -- Nursing home operator Beverly Enterprises Inc. said Monday it has agreed to be acquired by a private-equity firm for about $1.5 billion after a previous sale fell through because financing couldn't be lined up in time.
Fillmore Capital Partners will pay $12.50 per share for the Fort Smith, Ark.-based company. Including debt to be absorbed by Fillmore, the deal is worth about $1.8 billion. North American Senior Care Inc. had pledged $13 a share but Friday's financing deadline passed without the deal being completed.

Instead, we got a report on those shootings at a mall in Tacoma. The biz segment led with the GM job cuts, which include closing a plant in Oklahoma City.

Missed him by that much

In an AP story about U.S. troops mistakenly killling three Iraqi civilians, including a child, we find this:

Earlier Monday, U.S. forces left a house in the northern city of Mosul where eight suspected al-Qaida members died in a weekend gunfight, and the White House said it was "highly unlikely" that terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was among the dead.

Each a shame.

Sharon to quit Likud?

Here.

JERUSALEM (Reuters) - Israel's Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has decided to quit his ruling Likud party, Army Radio reported on Sunday, quoting unidentified party sources.

Story says he'll form new party to contest new elections after Labor ditched coalition.

This would be nice

Let's hope this pans out:

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) -- U.S. forces sealed off a house in the northern city of Mosul where eight suspected al-Qaida members died in a gunfight - some by their own hand to avoid capture. A U.S. official said Sunday that efforts were under way to determine if terror leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was among the dead.

Not that it would end the insurgency, but it could lessen the terror attacks on Iraqi civilians. DEBKAfile (insert salt) says the bodies are burnt beyond recognition, but we have Zarqawi DNA.

Was Hadley Woodward's source?

Greyhair and Mikevotes were leaning that way. The Times of London says it's so.

How Curveball suckered the CIA

The LATimes:

BERLIN — The German intelligence officials responsible for one of the most important informants on Saddam Hussein's suspected weapons of mass destruction say that the Bush administration and the CIA repeatedly exaggerated his claims during the run-up to the war in Iraq.
Five senior officials from Germany's Federal Intelligence Service, or BND, said in interviews with The Times that they warned U.S. intelligence authorities that the source, an Iraqi defector code-named Curveball, never claimed to produce germ weapons and never saw anyone else do so.
According to the Germans, President Bush mischaracterized Curveball's information when he warned before the war that Iraq had at least seven mobile factories brewing biological poisons. Then-Secretary of State Colin L. Powell also misstated Curveball's accounts in his prewar presentation to the United Nations on Feb. 5, 2003, the Germans said.

It's long, but read the whole thing to see how we got into this mess, how "military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy."

Amen

Rich:

Mr. Bush may disdain timetables for our pullout, but, hello, there already is one, set by the Santorums of his own party: the expiration date for a sizable American presence in Iraq is Election Day 2006.

We've had Iraq fatigue here lately. Let's check in:

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) -- An ambush on a joint U.S.-Iraqi patrol northwest of Baghdad left 15 civilians, eight insurgents and a U.S. Marine dead from a roadside bomb and the firefight that followed, a U.S. military statement said Sunday.
... At least 2,092 members of the U.S. military have died since the war began in March 2003, according to an Associated Press count.
... Since Friday, at least 125 Iraqi civilians have been killed in bombings and suicide attacks. They include 76 people who died in near-simultaneous suicide bombings at two Shiite mosques in Khanaqin along the Iranian border.
... On Saturday, a suicide bomber detonated his car in a crowd of Shiite mourners north of Baghdad, killing at least 36 people. ... Police said about 50 people were injured.
Earlier, a car bomb exploded among shoppers at an outdoor market in a mostly Shiite neighborhood in southeast Baghdad, killing 13 people and wounding about 20 others, police reported.

This is a course we cannot stay.

What's wrong with this story?

The hypocrisy.

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) -- Daniel Alvarado said he was kidnapped by government agents in El Salvador, hung blindfolded from a ceiling, shocked with electrical wires and repeatedly beaten. More than two decades later, a federal jury in Tennessee has held a former Salvadoran Army colonel responsible for the torture.
Nicolas Carranza, 72, failed to stop crimes against humanity when he was a top commander of El Salvador's security forces, the jury found Friday. He was held responsible in civil claims by Alvarado and three others who said they were tortured or that their family members were killed by soldiers under Carranza's command.
... Carranza was ordered to pay $500,000 to each accuser, plus $4 million in punitive damages - $1 million each.
... Carranza was sued under U.S. laws giving federal courts jurisdiction over civil claims of human rights abuses abroad.

On appeal, maybe Carranza can demonstrate that the CIA slipped him some cash, grandfathering him into their torture exemption.

AP still can't get it right

Sigh.

The revelations from Woodward, who shared this information under oath with Fitzgerald on Monday, contradict Fitzgerald's earlier portrayal of Libby as the first government official to leak Plame's identity to reporters.

The Times:

The final effort, Mr. Woodward told the magazine, occurred after Mr. Fitzgerald's Oct. 28 news conference announcing the indictment of Mr. Libby, when the prosecutor said Mr. Libby was the first administration official known to have discussed Ms. Wilson's identity with a reporter when he spoke to Judith Miller, then a reporter for The New York Times, on June 23, 2003.

Not that complicated.

Gamma

No. 24.

MIAMI (AP) -- Tropical Storm Gamma blew along the coasts of Belize and Honduras on Saturday as it threatened to turn onto a path that could threaten South Florida this coming week.

Guaranteeing it won't happen

Paraphrasing David Sanders' quick take on Iraq during "Arkansas Week":

Ahmad Chalabi was in town this week and said American troops could begin returning home in 2006.

Right. They'll be replaced with guys starting their third tour.

Abramoff's partner charged

Here it comes:

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Michael Scanlon, partner of lobbyist Jack Abramoff, was charged Friday with conspiring to defraud Indian tribe clients of millions of dollars in a scheme that lavished golf trips, meals and campaign donations on a member of Congress.
In a one-count criminal information filed by the government, Scanlon was charged with conspiring with another lobbyist, who was identified only as "Lobbyist A." It has been a matter of public record for more than a year that Scanlon and Abramoff had a fee-splitting arrangement and represented several Indian tribes.
Documents filed Friday say that Scanlon and Lobbyist A recruited a member of Congress, identified only as Representative No. 1, with gifts, trips, meals, entertainment and campaign contributions to aid their effort to pass legislation.
Among the people subpoenaed in the Scanlon and Abramoff investigation was Rep. Bob Ney, whose name surfaced almost a year ago in a Senate Indian Affairs Committee as having extensive dealings with the two lobbyists and their tribal clients.
Ney, a Republican House member, has denied any wrongdoing and says he was duped into backing Abramoff's clients and into taking a golf trip paid for by Abramoff.
The filing of a criminal information, rather than an indictment, often means prosecutors have reached a plea agreement with a defendant.

Scanlon was DeLay's chief of staff. Sounds like he's singing.

Who is Woodward's "Mr. X?"

We're guessing it's also Novakula's first source. Downie tells the Times that if another Post reporter ID's him, they'll publish the name. The Journal seems to rule out a bunch of candidates, including Smirk and Snarl and Card and Bartlett and Condi and Rove and Libby and Hadley and Feith and Tenet and McLaughlin and Powell and Bolton and Ford and Grossman -- but not Rummy or Wolfie (he denied it, as did Karen and Ari and Andy to the Times) or Armitage or Wilkerson -- unless someone's lying, which can't be ruled out. We're running out of senior administration officials here. We think we'll find out sooner rather than later.
UPDATE: Or maybe not:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sign he may seek new or revised charges in the CIA leak case, special counsel Patrick Fitzgerald said on Friday his investigation would be going back before a grand jury.

Miserable failure

Wall Street Journal:

President Bush's positive job rating continues to fall, touching another new low for his presidency, the latest Harris Interactive poll finds.
Bush's current job approval rating stands at 34%, compared with a positive rating of 88% soon after 9/11, 50% at this time last year, and 40% in August.
... At the same time, only a quarter of Americans polled give Democrats a positive rating in the latest poll, compared with 31% in August, while Republicans' approval ratings fell to 27% from 32%.

All here.

For what it's worth

We hate the redesign of CJR Daily, and not just because we hate Helvetica.

Through the looking glass

Snarl:

In Washington you can ordinarily rely on some basic measure of truthfulness and good faith in the conduct of political debate.
But in the last several weeks we have seen a wild departure from that tradition.
And the suggestion that's been made by some US senators that the president of the United States or any member of this administration purposely misled the American people on pre-war intelligence is one of the most dishonest and reprehensible charges ever aired in this city.